The "Debt Bull" was launched, and a number of treasury bonds futures reached new highs. According to the analysis, the downward trend of broad-spectrum interest rates is expected to continue to support the bull market in the bond market. On December 10, 30-year, 10-year, 5-year and 2-year treasury bonds futures all hit record highs. Looking at it for a long time, since the beginning of this year, 30-year treasury bond futures have risen by nearly 16%, 10-year treasury bond futures have risen by over 5%, and 5-year treasury bond futures have risen by over 3%. Analysts pointed out that the logic of broad-spectrum interest rate downward has run through the whole year of 2024, and it is expected to continue to form an important support for the bond market in the long run. The recent market strength is not only an emotional effect at the end of the year and the beginning of the year, but also a blocking point to dredge and guide the overall downward trend of interest rates. Shen Wanhongyuan believes that in the short term, profit-taking behavior may increase after the low interest rate, but this is not the core factor that dominates the market. Shen Wanhongyuan said that the rate cut of policy interest rate in 2025 may not be less than 30 basis points. After the deployment of relevant important meetings at the end of the year, specific policies may be gradually implemented in the first quarter of next year. According to Huaxi Securities, looking forward to 2025, the rate of single RRR cut and interest rate cut of monetary policy may not be less than 50 basis points and 20 basis points (the rate in 2024). (Securities Times)The offshore RMB (CNH) was quoted at 7.2579 yuan against the US dollar at 05:59 Beijing time, up 96 points from late new york on Monday, and the whole trading in the day was in the range of 7.2710-7.2421 yuan.The rapid rise of long-term debt reflects the hot sentiment in the bond market. On December 10th, the transaction interest rate of the 10-year active bond "240011" further dropped to 1.84%, hitting a record low. By the close of the day, treasury bonds futures rose across the board, and the main contract of representative 10-year treasury bonds futures hit a record high. Experts said that the loose expectation of monetary policy and the strong demand for institutional allocation constitute an important supporting factor for the recent bond market to continue to go bullish. But at the same time, as bond prices rise and yields fall, market volatility may also rise. (CSI)
EIA: The net import of crude oil in the United States will drop by 20% in 2025. The us energy information administration (EIA) said on Tuesday that it is expected that the net import of crude oil in the United States will drop by 20% to 1.9 million barrels per day next year, which will be the lowest level since 1971, suggesting that the output of the United States will increase and the demand of refineries will decrease. EIA said in its Short-term Energy Outlook in December that the US oil production is expected to increase from 13.24 million barrels per day in 2024 to 13.52 million barrels per day in 2025. EIA also said that the crude oil processing capacity of refineries will be 16 million barrels per day in 2025, a decrease of 200,000 barrels per day compared with 2024. EIA now predicts that the average spot price of Brent crude oil in 2025 will be $73.58 per barrel, which is lower than the previous forecast of $76.06 per barrel. The average spot price of crude oil in the United States is $69.12 per barrel, which is lower than the last forecast of $71.60 per barrel.According to statistics, since November, a total of 138 A-share listed companies have announced plans to increase their holdings, of which 88 have disclosed specific plans to increase their holdings. Judging from the upper limit of the amount to be increased, if all listed companies increase their holdings, the total increase will exceed 25.3 billion yuan. In terms of industries, the number of listed companies that have recently released plans to increase their holdings is mainly concentrated in three major industries: transportation, machinery and equipment, and electronics, with 10 companies. Statistics show that 48 listed companies intend to increase their holdings by more than 100 million yuan, among which 8 listed companies have announced that their holdings will reach 1 billion yuan or more, including Dongfang Shenghong, China Jushi, Lujiazui and Sailun Tire. Among the listed companies that have issued plans to increase their holdings since November, 29 companies indicated that the sources of funds include special loan funds. (Securities Times)CEO of Ferrari: We have seen opportunities in different countries, but we need to grow at the right speed. We still plan to launch (the first) electric vehicles in 2025.
US Treasury Secretary Yellen: Trump's widely implemented tariff policy may undermine the progress made on inflation and increase costs. He talked with Trump's nominee for finance minister, Besant, and discussed the broad responsibilities of the Ministry of Finance.A new generation of quantum chips has achieved a breakthrough in error correction capability. According to a paper published in Nature magazine on the 10th, Google's latest generation of quantum chips has achieved a breakthrough in error correction capability, that is, the error is suppressed below a critical threshold. This quantum error correction function is considered as a necessary condition to realize the practical application of quantum computing in the future. After the performance of the chip is expanded, it may be able to promote the operation requirements of large-scale fault-tolerant quantum computing. (Science and Technology Daily)The Iraqi Prime Minister met with the commander of the US Central Command to discuss the situation in Syria and other issues. The Iraqi Prime Minister and Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces Sudani met with the commander of the US Central Command, michael curry Al-Ra, in Baghdad on December 10th. During the talks, the two sides discussed the cooperation and coordination between Iraq and the League of Nations in the fight against terrorism and extremism. Sudani emphasized that Iraq is an important member of the "League of Nations" and is committed to cooperating with the League to jointly crack down on and track down terrorist organizations in order to safeguard regional security and stability. Curilla emphasized that the League of Nations promised to support Iraq in safeguarding its security and sovereignty and resisting any terrorist threat. The two sides also discussed the latest progress of the situation in Syria and its lasting impact on the region. Sudani said that the Syrian people's free choice should be respected, and Iraq is willing to help the Syrian people in the current transitional stage. (CCTV)
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide
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